Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 0.002463 0.002622 0.002791 0.002987 0.003208 0.003451 0.003742
2024-11-03 0.002115 0.002313 0.002535 0.002806 0.003131 0.003517 0.004018
2024-11-10 0.001976 0.002210 0.002484 0.002834 0.003281 0.003849 0.004655
2024-11-17 0.001881 0.002143 0.002460 0.002883 0.003453 0.004226 0.005426
2024-11-24 0.001776 0.002050 0.002390 0.002860 0.003519 0.004464 0.006052
2024-12-01 0.001718 0.002010 0.002381 0.002911 0.003688 0.004874 0.007062
2024-12-08 0.001647 0.001945 0.002333 0.002900 0.003762 0.005145 0.007922
2024-12-15 0.001572 0.001870 0.002264 0.002851 0.003768 0.005303 0.008616
2024-12-22 0.001542 0.001853 0.002272 0.002912 0.003954 0.005805 0.010283
2024-12-29 0.001511 0.001831 0.002270 0.002957 0.004116 0.006301 0.012264
2025-01-05 0.001456 0.001773 0.002212 0.002910 0.004114 0.006469 0.013450
2025-01-12 0.001390 0.001697 0.002125 0.002811 0.004006 0.006396 0.013823
2025-01-19 0.001351 0.001660 0.002095 0.002805 0.004078 0.006752 0.016158
2025-01-26 0.001272 0.001563 0.001973 0.002643 0.003844 0.006371 0.015292
2025-02-02 0.001248 0.001544 0.001966 0.002669 0.003970 0.006869 0.018887
2025-02-09 0.001231 0.001533 0.001970 0.002713 0.004137 0.007529 0.024931
2025-02-16 0.001199 0.001499 0.001938 0.002692 0.004170 0.007846 0.029979
2025-02-23 0.001185 0.001491 0.001944 0.002738 0.004349 0.008656 0.044396
2025-03-02 0.001159 0.001465 0.001919 0.002728 0.004406 0.009120 0.060753
2025-03-09 0.001128 0.001428 0.001878 0.002684 0.004380 0.009299 0.076260
2025-03-16 0.001119 0.001425 0.001890 0.002739 0.004591 0.010436 0.199798
2025-03-23 0.001108 0.001418 0.001894 0.002780 0.004774 0.011609 6.969656
2025-03-30 0.001081 0.001386 0.001857 0.002737 0.004747 0.011861 NaN